Given that the poll was taken in the last week of December, I'll be a little skeptical about the quality of the results. Most people don't think too much about politicians over the Christmas break.
Of note however is are some of the regionalized numbers:
The poll gave the Liberals 40 per cent support in Ontario, compared with 35 per cent for the Conservatives, 13 per cent for the NDP and 11 per cent for the Greens. In Quebec, the Bloc had 41 per cent, compared with 27 per cent for the Liberals, 14 per cent for the Tories, 11 per cent for the NDP and five per cent for the Greens. The margins of error are higher for regional samples.
Which suggests two things to me:
1) Liberal gains are being made heavily on the back of the NDP. (Unsurprising - "soft" votes that went to the NDP in a "not Liberal" move will be starting to move back)
2) The CPC is not gaining ground in key areas of Ontario and Quebec - which, like it or not, have a significant weight in any election.
However, I question the overall results at this time - any poll taken near Christmas time is not being done when people are willing to think about the situation.
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